Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.957949 8.867454 9.890872 11.138754 12.634453 14.389502 16.635067
2025-01-05 6.380505 7.511629 8.897610 10.760360 13.263693 16.616211 21.646568
2025-01-12 5.444418 6.622146 8.141920 10.315538 13.471756 18.123433 26.039984
2025-01-19 4.845198 6.036971 7.635807 10.035621 13.745564 19.678585 31.011826
2025-01-26 4.466109 5.681600 7.368675 10.013416 14.347979 21.856063 38.044586
2025-02-02 4.371369 5.696063 7.609286 10.769587 16.341614 27.065179 54.587928
2025-02-09 4.213950 5.597261 7.660586 11.220853 17.908967 32.090411 75.567631
2025-02-16 3.986488 5.369311 7.481230 11.246625 18.676335 35.725380 97.056477
2025-02-23 3.847517 5.259846 7.472597 11.562781 20.096830 41.617615 137.389723
2025-03-02 3.586484 4.939497 7.086660 11.129397 19.814394 42.872018 159.512823
2025-03-09 3.382101 4.693619 6.802642 10.850644 19.820800 45.015465 193.420654
2025-03-16 3.227739 4.516517 6.619051 10.741054 20.199021 48.563108 251.785198
2025-03-23 3.137093 4.449828 6.643349 11.100590 21.965707 58.704476 462.832845
2025-03-30 2.939732 4.197384 6.323494 10.720943 21.774518 61.628470 642.610973
2025-04-06 2.753755 3.951563 5.994608 10.278354 21.308215 63.198551 860.374503
2025-04-13 2.608131 3.764142 5.756219 9.999911 21.241057 66.726994 1345.777024
2025-04-20 2.509358 3.649524 5.641584 9.977822 21.924925 74.918306 3314.683027
2025-04-27 2.512008 3.707902 5.854107 10.729949 25.291886 104.572815 NaN
2025-05-04 2.476220 3.696130 5.930585 11.178736 27.912912 137.652041 NaN
2025-05-11 2.398322 3.604274 5.840965 11.204365 29.040035 162.350860 NaN
2025-05-18 2.354025 3.569865 5.862994 11.518753 31.465107 213.762636 NaN
2025-05-25 2.243443 3.408738 5.614436 11.087786 30.642911 218.094949 NaN
2025-06-01 2.154060 3.282597 5.430487 10.810564 30.423761 233.430446 NaN